TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Nacional vs. FC Porto
Volume:
$1,107,766
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between CD Nacional and FC Porto scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (Porto win, Nacional win, or draw) measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market violates binary logic by resolving all three mutually exclusive outcomes to Yes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure. Polymarket uses correct binary structure with three separate markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is logically broken. Use only the Polymarket markets (Porto Win, Nacional Win, Draw). Before settlement, confirm the game is not canceled, as cancellation handling differs: Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Win markets resolve No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure is logically impossible. All three mutually exclusive outcomes (Porto win, Nacional win, Tie) are programmed to resolve to Yes. This violates fundamental binary market design and makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with sound logic. Each outcome (Porto Win, Nacional Win, Draw) has its own Yes/No market. Cancellation handling: Draw resolves Yes if canceled; Win markets resolve No if canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.