TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Moquegua vs. FC Cajamarca
Volume:
$20,547
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between CD Moquegua and FC Cajamarca.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (win, loss, or draw), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and logically sound.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it worthless for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three markets (Moquegua win, draw, Cajamarca win) are mutually exclusive and exactly one will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive markets covering all possible outcomes: (1) CD Moquegua wins → YES, (2) Draw → YES, (3) FC Cajamarca wins → YES. Exactly one resolves YES; the others resolve NO. Resolution source is official Liga 1.pe statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Canceled match with no makeup resolves NO for win markets, YES for draw market.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If Tie wins... then YES. If Ucv Moquegua wins... then YES. If FC Cajamarca wins... then YES.' This creates a logical contradiction—the market resolves YES for every possible match outcome, rendering it meaningless. Additionally, the team name 'Ucv Moquegua' does not match the event name 'CD Moquegua', introducing a potential entity mismatch.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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