Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. The market asks 'If [Team A] wins... then resolves YES' AND 'If [Team B] wins... then resolves YES' AND 'If Tie... then resolves YES', meaning all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to YES simultaneously, violating basic logical consistency.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical error that makes settlement impossible. The market cannot simultaneously resolve YES for all three outcomes (Limache win, Concepción win, and draw). Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with coherent resolution logic; use those instead.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive resolution: (1) Limache win resolves YES only if Limache wins, NO otherwise; (2) Concepción win resolves YES only if Concepción wins, NO otherwise; (3) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Primary source is official ANFP statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, with credible reporting as fallback.
Kalshi: Single market with three resolution clauses that all resolve to YES: 'If Deportes Limache wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If U de Concepcion wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market must resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, making it unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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