TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla
Volume:
$199,406
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between CD Guadalajara and Club Puebla.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Guadalajara win, Puebla win, or tie), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are binary and mutually exclusive, creating a direct contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is a logical trap—it will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it worthless as a prediction instrument. Polymarket offers genuine binary markets with real settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw resolves YES only if match ends 0-0, (2) Guadalajara Win resolves YES only if Guadalajara wins, (3) Puebla Win resolves YES only if Puebla wins. Exactly one will resolve YES. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome clauses, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES if Puebla wins OR if Tie occurs OR if Guadalajara wins—covering all possible outcomes. Quote: 'If Puebla wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Guadalajara wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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