TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Concepción vs. CD La Serena
Volume:
$68,160
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between CD Concepción and CD La Serena.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Concepción win, La Serena win, or tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it worthless as a prediction instrument. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets (draw, Concepción win, La Serena win), which have coherent, mutually exclusive logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw market resolves YES if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (2) Concepción win market resolves YES if Concepción wins, NO otherwise; (3) La Serena win market resolves YES if La Serena wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source is official ANFP statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation without makeup resolves draw market to YES, win markets to NO.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If D. Concepcion wins...then resolves to Yes. If Deportes La Serena wins...then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market will resolve YES for every possible match outcome, rendering it non-predictive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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