TOTAL VOLUME:

$141.7b

24H VOL:

$113,958,174

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,626,885,236

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,577,361,990

453,985

Markets across

34,993

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,922

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Cavaliers vs. Warriors
kalshi
polymarket

Cavaliers vs. Warriors

Volume:
$8,818,984

Cleveland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,470,842
N/A
N/A
$1,666,294
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cavaliers vs. Warriors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,084,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 226.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 228.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$139,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 227.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Max Strus: Points O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors scheduled for April 2 at 10:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Cavaliers" or "Warriors" accordingly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic tied to specific outcomes (winner, spread cover, player stats, totals). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's part.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It contains a logical contradiction: both 'Cleveland wins' and 'Golden State wins' resolve to YES, which is impossible. All other markets (Polymarket's 20 markets covering moneyline, spreads, player props, totals, and halves) are resolvable and internally consistent. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Cleveland wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result. This violates basic market coherence and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden State wins the Cleveland at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard resolution logic: Polymarket's 20 markets use mutually exclusive, coherent resolution rules. The moneyline resolves to either 'Cavaliers' or 'Warriors' (not both). Spreads, player props, and totals all follow standard conditional logic with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules. Quote: 'If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Cavaliers. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.