TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cavaliers vs. Warriors
Volume:
$8,818,984
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors scheduled for April 2 at 10:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Cavaliers" or "Warriors" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic tied to specific outcomes (winner, spread cover, player stats, totals). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's part.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It contains a logical contradiction: both 'Cleveland wins' and 'Golden State wins' resolve to YES, which is impossible. All other markets (Polymarket's 20 markets covering moneyline, spreads, player props, totals, and halves) are resolvable and internally consistent. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Cleveland wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result. This violates basic market coherence and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden State wins the Cleveland at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard resolution logic: Polymarket's 20 markets use mutually exclusive, coherent resolution rules. The moneyline resolves to either 'Cavaliers' or 'Warriors' (not both). Spreads, player props, and totals all follow standard conditional logic with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules. Quote: 'If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Cavaliers. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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