TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Volume:
$22,965,630
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder scheduled for February 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads (full game and first half), totals (full game and first half), and individual player prop bets across multiple stat categories (points, rebounds, assists).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is tautological and unresolvable. The market states it resolves Yes if either Cleveland or Oklahoma City wins, which guarantees a Yes outcome in any completed game. This contradicts the binary prediction market model and makes the market meaningless.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's market as invalid for settlement. All 130 Polymarket markets provide coherent, testable resolution criteria tied to official NBA box scores and halftime data. Use Polymarket as the single source of truth for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: 130 distinct markets with clear binary or threshold-based outcomes. Moneyline: Cavaliers vs Thunder (resolves to winning team). Spreads: Multiple thresholds (Cavaliers -1.5 to -4.5, Thunder -1.5 to -7.5) each with specific point-differential triggers. Totals: 20 distinct over/under lines from 223.5 to 240.5 combined points. Player props: 40 markets across points, rebounds, assists for 10 players. First-half markets: moneyline, spreads, and totals. All reference official NBA.com box scores; cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Single market: 'If Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Cleveland at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology: one team must win, so the market always resolves Yes unless canceled. No meaningful prediction is possible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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