TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cavaliers vs. Jazz
Volume:
$2,413,877
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Cleveland Cavaliers face the Utah Jazz in an NBA game. Markets across platforms will settle based on the final score (including overtime), with contingencies for postponement (markets remain open) or full cancellation (50-50 split). The event encompasses moneyline, spread, over/under, and second-half winner outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves exclusively on second-half regulation performance (any outcome resolves YES), while Polymarket resolves on full-game final score including overtime. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market will always resolve YES regardless of game outcome, making it unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's second-half market entirely—it is logically broken and will resolve YES for every possible game result (Utah win, Cleveland win, or tie in the second half). All trading value lies in Polymarket's full-game markets, which use standard NBA resolution (final score including overtime, official NBA.com box score).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Utah wins the second half, Cleveland wins the second half, OR the second half ends in a tie. This creates a tautology where every possible outcome triggers YES resolution, rendering the market logically incoherent. Key quote: 'If Utah is the winner of the second half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland is the winner of the second half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the second half... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution: Resolves based on full-game final score including overtime, determined from official NBA.com box score. Moneyline resolves to Cavaliers or Jazz based on who wins. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory. Over/Under resolves based on combined total points. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods' and 'The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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