TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Volume:
$8,393,032
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Atlanta Hawks scheduled for April 10 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Cavaliers" or "Hawks" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Atlanta wins OR Cleveland wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Cavaliers, Hawks, or 50-50 on cancellation), providing coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of game outcome. Trade only on Polymarket's Cavaliers vs. Hawks moneyline, which has proper mutually exclusive resolution paths. For spreads and player props, both platforms align on standard NBA resolution via official box scores.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error in the moneyline market. Both resolution conditions state 'the market resolves to Yes' — 'If Atlanta wins the Cleveland at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution logic: Provides coherent mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Cavaliers. If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to Hawks.' All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props) follow standard NBA box score resolution with clear thresholds and postponement/cancellation protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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