This event group covers the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Milwaukee. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across both full-game and halftime periods.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on using the official NBA box score as the authoritative resolution source, with identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and overtime inclusion.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Resolves to the team with the higher final score (including overtime)
Spread: Resolves based on final margin of victory; Cavaliers win by N points triggers Cavaliers resolution if N meets or exceeds the spread threshold
Totals (Full Game): Resolves to Over if combined score is at or above the stated threshold (e.g., 228+ for 227.5 line), Under otherwise
Totals (First Half): Resolves based on combined score at halftime only
Player Props: Resolves to Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 19.5 points = Yes if 20+), No if at or below; inactive players resolve to No
First Half Spread: Resolves based on halftime score margin only
First Half Moneyline: Resolves to leading team at halftime; tied halftime score resolves 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No resolution occurs until final score is available.
Game Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled make-up game.
Overtime: All statistics and scores include overtime periods. The entire game is considered for resolution.
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all player prop markets for that player resolve to No.
Halftime Tie: First half moneyline markets resolve 50-50 if the score is tied at halftime.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.