TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Carrarese Calcio vs. Palermo FC
Volume:
$84,604
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Carrarese Calcio and Palermo FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three-outcome market structure creates logical impossibility (all outcomes resolve Yes), while Polymarket's three separate binary markets have asymmetric cancellation rules (Draw=Yes if canceled; Win/Loss=No if canceled).Hero Tip:
Do not assume cancellation will resolve identically across platforms. Kalshi keeps markets open on postponement; Polymarket's Draw market uniquely resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup. Treat the Draw market as having elevated cancellation risk relative to Win/Loss markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve to Yes: 'If Palermo wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes', 'If Carrarese wins...then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves Yes regardless of match result. On postponement, markets remain open until completion.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If draw, resolve Yes; if canceled with no makeup, resolve Yes.' Palermo Win market: 'If Palermo wins, resolve Yes; if canceled, resolve No.' Carrarese Win market: 'If Carrarese wins, resolve Yes; if canceled, resolve No.' On postponement, all markets remain open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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