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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

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$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Carrarese Calcio vs. Palermo FC
kalshi
polymarket

Carrarese Calcio vs. Palermo FC

Volume:
$84,604

Palermo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 3:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palermo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,857
N/A
N/A
$21,518
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Palermo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carrarese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,009
N/A
N/A
$7,193
Settled
No
polymarket

Carrarese Calcio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,149
N/A
N/A
$6,572
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Carrarese Calcio vs. Palermo FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Carrarese Calcio and Palermo FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three-outcome market structure creates logical impossibility (all outcomes resolve Yes), while Polymarket's three separate binary markets have asymmetric cancellation rules (Draw=Yes if canceled; Win/Loss=No if canceled).Hero tip: Do not assume cancellation will resolve identically across platforms. Kalshi keeps markets open on postponement; Polymarket's Draw market uniquely resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup. Treat the Draw market as having elevated cancellation risk relative to Win/Loss markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve to Yes: 'If Palermo wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes', 'If Carrarese wins...then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves Yes regardless of match result. On postponement, markets remain open until completion.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If draw, resolve Yes; if canceled with no makeup, resolve Yes.' Palermo Win market: 'If Palermo wins, resolve Yes; if canceled, resolve No.' Carrarese Win market: 'If Carrarese wins, resolve Yes; if canceled, resolve No.' On postponement, all markets remain open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.