Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie B (the governing body for Italian Serie B professional soccer) as recognized by the event organizers.
Core resolution logic:
Carrarese Calcio win market resolves YES if and only if Carrarese wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Delfino Pescara 1936 win market resolves YES if and only if Pescara wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the two win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Lega Serie B statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used as a fallback.
Scope: Regular Time Only: All markets measure outcome only within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Lega Serie B, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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