Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL (English Football League) statistics and match records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes exist: Cardiff City FC wins, Northampton Town FC wins, or the match ends in a draw.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Exactly one outcome will occur, and markets are structured so that across all platforms, the three outcome markets are collectively exhaustive and mutually exclusive.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match result.
Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES (Polymarket) while both win markets resolve NO (Polymarket and Kalshi). This reflects the contract-specific treatment of cancellation as a non-result.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official EFL statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as the fallback resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the EFL or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, upon consensus of credible reporting sources.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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