TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Capitals vs. Penguins
Volume:
$3,600,413
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins NHL game scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner determination) and multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Resolution based on final regulation + overtime + shootout score, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution rules for moneyline, spreads, and over/unders, while Kalshi's market definition is incomplete and logically contradictory—it states that the market resolves YES if EITHER team wins, which makes the market unresolvable (both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES).Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's market until clarification is provided. The Kalshi definition violates basic binary market logic. Trade with confidence on Polymarket, where all 8 markets have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek immediate clarification from Kalshi support on whether this is a data entry error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides 8 distinct, well-defined markets covering moneyline (Capitals vs. Penguins), three spread markets (Capitals -1.5, Capitals -2.5, Penguins -1.5), and four over/under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 goals). Each market has explicit, mutually exclusive resolution criteria with consistent handling of postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). All markets reference the same source (NHL.com scores) and the same game (April 11, 3:00 PM ET). Example: 'If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to Capitals. If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to Penguins.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single market definition that is logically contradictory and unresolvable. The rule states 'If PIT Penguins wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If WSH Capitals wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: both outcomes cannot resolve to YES in a binary market. No resolution criteria for postponements, cancellations, or tie-breaking are provided. The market references the same game (April 11, 2026) but lacks the operational clarity and mutual exclusivity required for settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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