TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canucks vs. Sharks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 11 at 10:00PM ET: If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to "Canucks". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on moneyline outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on total goals scored (Over/Under markets) and moneyline outcome. Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: both outcomes (VAN wins OR SJ wins) resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Canucks win OR Sharks win) resolve to YES, leaving no NO resolution path. Polymarket's markets are resolvable: focus on the moneyline (Canucks vs. Sharks) and total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) which have clear YES/NO paths. If you hold Kalshi exposure, escalate to PredictionHero support immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure is logically broken. Both possible outcomes (VAN Canucks wins OR SJ Sharks wins) are stated to resolve to YES, with no defined NO resolution path. Quote: 'If VAN Canucks wins the Vancouver at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If SJ Sharks wins the Vancouver at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple resolvable markets with clear binary outcomes. Moneyline market (Canucks vs. Sharks) resolves to either Canucks or Sharks based on final score. Total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) resolve to Over or Under based on combined goals. Spread market (Sharks -1.5) resolves to Sharks if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Canucks. Quote: 'If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to Canucks. If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to Sharks.' All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses with 50-50 resolution for full cancellation.
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