TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canucks vs. Kings
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 9 at 10:30PM ET: If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to "Canucks". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete resolution rules for a three-outcome market (Canucks win, Kings win, or 50-50 on cancellation), while Kalshi's market is logically broken—it resolves YES if either team wins, making it impossible to ever resolve NO and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely. It contains a logical contradiction: both 'VAN Canucks wins' and 'LA Kings wins' resolve to Yes, meaning the market cannot resolve No under any realistic scenario. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes (Canucks, Kings, or 50-50 on cancellation).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (sound logic): Polymarket defines a proper three-outcome market where Canucks win resolves to 'Canucks', Kings win resolves to 'Kings', and cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. Key quote: 'If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to Canucks. If the Kings win, the market will resolve to Kings.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical failure): Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If VAN Canucks wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If LA Kings wins...then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes trigger the same resolution (Yes), leaving no scenario for a No resolution. Key quote: 'If VAN Canucks wins the Vancouver at Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If LA Kings wins the Vancouver at Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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