TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canucks vs. Flames
Volume:
$1,390,213
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Vancouver Canucks vs. Calgary Flames NHL game scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner (Canucks or Flames), (2) combined total goals across multiple thresholds (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin-of-victory spreads (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal differentials for both teams). All markets reference the same underlying game event with consistent final-score methodology.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins), while Polymarket resolves based on moneyline winner and total goals scored, with no margin requirements.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's margin markets, your outcome depends on the winning team's margin of victory. On Polymarket, the moneyline market only cares who wins (not by how much), while the Over/Under markets care only about combined goals. A 2-0 Flames win resolves YES on Kalshi's margin markets but does not trigger any specific outcome on Polymarket's moneyline. Conversely, a 1-0 Canucks win resolves YES on Polymarket's moneyline but NO on all Kalshi margin markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves based on goal-margin thresholds only. All four Kalshi markets require either Calgary or Vancouver to win by over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. Example: 'If Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals in the Vancouver at Calgary professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No moneyline or total-goals markets are offered; margin of victory is the sole resolution criterion.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Offers both moneyline resolution (Canucks vs. Flames winner only, regardless of margin) and total-goals resolution (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals). Moneyline example: 'If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to Canucks. If the Flames win, the market will resolve to Flames.' Total-goals example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Canucks and Flames combine to score 5 or more goals.' Margin of victory is irrelevant to all Polymarket markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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