TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canadiens vs. Senators
Volume:
$2,022,809
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NHL game between the Montreal Canadiens and Ottawa Senators scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on the Senators at -1.5 goals.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official final NHL score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50 split), and shootout scoring (add 1 goal to winner's total).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NHL score from nhl.com for the March 11, 2026 Canadiens vs. Senators gameCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline (Kalshi, Polymarket): Canadiens win resolves to Canadiens; Senators win resolves to Senators
- Over/Under 4.5 (Polymarket): Combined score 5+ = Over; less than 5 = Under
- Over/Under 5.5 (Polymarket): Combined score 6+ = Over; less than 6 = Under
- Over/Under 6.5 (Polymarket): Combined score 7+ = Over; less than 7 = Under
- Over/Under 7.5 (Polymarket): Combined score 8+ = Over; less than 8 = Under
- Spread Senators -1.5 (Polymarket): Senators win by 2+ goals = Senators; otherwise = Canadiens
- Shootout scoring: One goal added to winning team's total for over/under and spread calculations
- Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
- Cancellation (no makeup): Moneyline and spread resolve 50-50; over/under markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Shootout Resolution: In the event of a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for the purpose of calculating over/under totals and spread outcomes. This applies uniformly across all platforms.
- Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets (moneyline, over/under, spread) resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official NHL score is published for the March 11, 2026 game, typically within 1-2 hours of game conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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