TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete market specifications for moneyline, spread, and over/under totals with detailed resolution rules, while Kalshi's market description is incomplete and fails to specify resolution outcomes for either team winning, making it fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on the Kalshi market until its resolution criteria are clarified. The Kalshi description states both outcomes resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. Polymarket markets are fully specified and resolvable; use those for reliable settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides five distinct, fully specified markets (moneyline, spread, and three over/under thresholds) with explicit resolution logic for all outcomes. Moneyline resolves to Canadiens or Hurricanes based on final score; spread resolves based on goal differential; over/unders resolve based on combined goals. Key quote: 'If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to Canadiens. If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to Hurricanes.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single market description with a critical logical flaw—it states 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If MTL Canadiens wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both outcomes resolve identically to Yes, which is impossible. No specification of what resolves to No or how the market distinguishes between the two teams. Key quote: 'If CAR Hurricanes wins the Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If MTL Canadiens wins the Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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