A college basketball game between Campbell Fighting Camels and Towson Tigers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at various thresholds, and total points scored.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Campbell win and Towson win are mapped to the same resolution outcome (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until the platform issues a corrected resolution statement. Trade only Polymarket markets, which use standard binary logic: moneyline resolves to the winner, spreads use point differentials, and totals use combined score thresholds. All Polymarket markets include a 50-50 tiebreaker for cancellation without makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clear binary moneyline: Campbell win resolves to Campbell, Towson win resolves to Towson. Spread markets use point thresholds (Towson -4.5 requires 5+ point win; Towson -5.5 requires 6+ point win). Over/under markets use combined score thresholds (143+ for O/U 142.5; 142+ for O/U 141.5). All include 50-50 cancellation clause.
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Towson wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Campbell wins... resolves to Yes' — both outcomes map to identical Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility with no No outcome path.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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