This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Campbell Fighting Camels and Elon Phoenix scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are wagering on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Campbell win and Elon win) are specified to resolve to the same value (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winners.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the resolution terms are corrected. The market as stated cannot function as a binary outcome predictor. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable terms: Campbell wins resolves to Campbell, Elon wins resolves to Elon.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Campbell victory resolves to Campbell Fighting Camels, Elon victory resolves to Elon Phoenix. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: Both Campbell win and Elon win are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible condition where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes, rendering it unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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