TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Volume:
$75,535
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-5 Call of Duty League match between Riyadh Falcons and Los Angeles Thieves scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET during the Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers. Markets span match winner, individual game winners (Games 1-4), game totals (O/U 3.5 and 4.5), and handicap spreads (-1.5 and -2.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents a binary match-winner market with minimal edge-case specification, while Polymarket offers seven distinct markets with comprehensive forfeit, disqualification, walkover, and tie handling. The core divergence is scope and granularity rather than logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Traders should treat Polymarket and Kalshi markets as distinct settlement universes. Polymarket's game-level and handicap markets require verification of match completion and game-by-game results from Liquipedia. Kalshi's binary structure is simpler but lacks clarity on whether forfeits/disqualifications count as wins. Request clarification from Kalshi if match ends via forfeit or disqualification before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Seven distinct markets covering match winner, individual game winners (1-4), game totals (O/U 3.5 and 4.5), and handicaps (-1.5 and -2.5). All resolve 50-50 if match canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without winner, or ends in tie. Match winner resolves 50-50 if match begins but incomplete and one team wins via forfeit/disqualification/walkover. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if game not completed. Handicap markets count forfeited games toward spread if match completed. Primary source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if Los Angeles Thieves wins OR if Riyadh Falcons wins the match. No explicit handling of forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, ties, or cancellations. No primary resolution source specified. Market structure implies any match completion with a winner resolves Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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