TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Description
This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Los Angeles Thieves and G2 Minnesota in the Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for March 21 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Thieves" if Los Angeles Thieves win the match against G2 Minnesota. This market will resolve to "G2 Minnesota" if G2 Minnesota win the match against Los Angeles Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ fundamentally in market scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers granular individual-game markets plus aggregate match and handicap markets, all resolving on Liquipedia with specific game-completion and cancellation rules. Kalshi offers only a single binary market on overall match winner, with no specification of resolution source or handling of incomplete matches.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you can hedge individual game outcomes and use handicap/totals markets for nuanced exposure. On Kalshi, you have only a binary match-winner bet with unclear resolution mechanics for edge cases like forfeits or delays. Verify Kalshi's resolution source and incomplete-match policy before committing capital, as these are not explicitly stated.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides eight separate markets covering individual games (1-4), match winner, game totals (O/U 3.5 and 4.5), and handicaps (-1.5 and -2.5). Each market specifies Liquipedia as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting, and includes detailed rules for incomplete matches (50-50 resolution), forfeits, and delays beyond 7 days. For example, Game 1 Winner resolves 'based on the completed Game 1' if the match begins but is incomplete, or '50-50' if Game 1 is not completed or the match is canceled/delayed beyond 7 days.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market ('If G2 Minnesota wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles Thieves wins...then the market resolves to Yes.') with no explicit resolution source, no handling of incomplete matches, forfeits, delays, or tie scenarios, and no fallback mechanism. The market structure is ambiguous—both outcomes resolve to 'Yes'—which suggests a logical error or incomplete specification.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.