TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles
kalshi
polymarket

California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles

Volume:
$891,468

Florida St.

 - Kalshi

Florida St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$417,822
N/A
N/A
$299,858
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338,495
N/A
N/A
$245,817
Settled
No
polymarket

California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between the California Golden Bears and Florida State Seminoles scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 152.5 and 154.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a directional bet. Polymarket's moneyline correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline market—it will resolve Yes no matter which team wins, eliminating any predictive value. Use Polymarket's moneyline for directional exposure. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Florida St. win and California win outcomes. This is a logical error that makes the market always resolve Yes. Quote: 'If Florida St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If California wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to the actual winner: California Golden Bears if Cal wins, Florida State Seminoles if FSU wins. Quote: 'If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to California Golden Bears. If the Florida State Seminoles win, the market will resolve to Florida State Seminoles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.