TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Calcio Padova vs. SSC Bari
Volume:
$145,439
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Serie B soccer match between Calcio Padova and SSC Bari scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Padova win, Bari win, or draw, resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating resolution ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket will resolve the draw market to YES and both win markets to NO—a logical inconsistency. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Monitor official Serie B sources (legaserieb.it) for cancellation announcements and request explicit Kalshi guidance before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Padova win and Bari win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.' All markets refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Bari wins, Padova wins, Tie) with no explicit cancellation clause provided. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). Cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.