TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Irvine Anteaters
Volume:
$230,713
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Cal Poly Mustangs and UC Irvine Anteaters scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-9.5 UC Irvine), and multiple over/under totals (155.5, 156.5, 157.5, 158.5, 160.5). Resolution is based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Cal Poly win and UC Irvine win resolve to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline. Trade Polymarket moneyline (categorical: Cal Poly vs UC Irvine) or use spread/total markets on either platform, which have sound, consistent resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If UC Irvine wins, resolve Yes. If Cal Poly wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, leaving no valid No state.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Cal Poly wins, resolve Cal Poly Mustangs. If UC Irvine wins, resolve UC Irvine Anteaters. Spread and totals use binary Yes/No logic with clear thresholds (e.g., UC Irvine -9.5, Over/Under 155.5-160.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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