This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Cagliari Calcio and Como 1907 scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Cagliari win, Como win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Kalshi's three-outcome market collapses into logical contradiction: all conditions resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single correct resolution. Polymarket's three separate binary markets maintain proper mutual exclusivity and are resolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi market entirely due to structural defect. Polymarket markets are the only reliable settlement mechanism. For any position on Kalshi, escalate to PredictionHero support for clarification or refund before event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering Yes. Logical flaw: exactly one outcome occurs in any soccer match, but all three conditions claim Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes. If Cagliari wins...resolves to Yes. If Como wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Cagliari Win Yes/No, Como Win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No) with mutually exclusive outcomes. Consistent rules: postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves No (or Yes for draw). Quote: 'If Cagliari Calcio wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
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