TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate
Volume:
$370,537
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Vélez Sarsfield and CA River Plate scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets resolve based on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation rule that resolves to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, creating a logical mismatch with Kalshi's tie market, which has no explicit cancellation clause and would follow standard sports market practice.Hero Tip:
The Polymarket draw market's cancellation-to-YES rule is atypical and creates settlement risk. Kalshi's tie market is more aligned with conventional sports betting logic. If cancellation is a realistic concern, favor Kalshi. Otherwise, both platforms agree on the core resolution logic for completed matches: Velez win, River Plate win, or draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Velez win (YES if Velez wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), River Plate win (YES if River Plate wins, NO otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves Velez and River Plate to NO, but draw market resolves to YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets covering all possible results: Velez win, Tie, River Plate win. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports market practice would apply (postponement keeps open, cancellation typically voids or defers resolution). Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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