TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Unión vs. CD Riestra
Volume:
$319,126
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between CA Unión and CD Riestra.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Union win, Draw, Riestra win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market that resolves YES for ALL three possible outcomes (Union win, Draw, or Riestra win). This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market cannot fail to resolve YES under any realistic match scenario.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it is logically unresolvable. If you hold a YES position on Kalshi, the market will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it a guaranteed payout. If you hold NO, you will lose. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Clarify with Kalshi whether their market should resolve YES only if a specific outcome occurs (e.g., Draw only), or if the market description is an error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Union win, Draw, Riestra win). Each market resolves YES or NO independently based on a single outcome. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'If CA Unión wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Union market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If CD Riestra wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Riestra market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Riestra wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Union Santa Fe wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible match outcome, making NO resolution impossible under normal circumstances.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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