TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys
Volume:
$617,260
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CA Unión and CA Newell's Old Boys will compete in an Argentine Primera División match on April 17, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Unión victory, a Newell's Old Boys victory, or a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome options (Union win, Newell's win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a logical contradiction with standard binary resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely. It is unresolvable as written. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes—use those instead for clear settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Union wins → YES/NO, (2) Draw → YES/NO, (3) Newell's wins → YES/NO. Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Resolution source: official AFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation without makeup → Union and Newell's resolve NO, Draw resolves YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome clauses, each stating 'resolves to Yes': (1) If Union Santa Fe wins → Yes, (2) If Newell's Old Boys wins → Yes, (3) If Tie → Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot simultaneously resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.