TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys
kalshi
polymarket

CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys

Volume:
$617,260

Newell's Old Boys

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Newell's Old Boys

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$145,287
N/A
N/A
$72,777
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Newell's Old Boys

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Unión

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,123
N/A
N/A
$67,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,044
N/A
N/A
$41,372
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

CA Unión and CA Newell's Old Boys will compete in an Argentine Primera División match on April 17, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Unión victory, a Newell's Old Boys victory, or a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome options (Union win, Newell's win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a logical contradiction with standard binary resolution.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely. It is unresolvable as written. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes—use those instead for clear settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Union wins → YES/NO, (2) Draw → YES/NO, (3) Newell's wins → YES/NO. Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Resolution source: official AFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation without makeup → Union and Newell's resolve NO, Draw resolves YES.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three outcome clauses, each stating 'resolves to Yes': (1) If Union Santa Fe wins → Yes, (2) If Newell's Old Boys wins → Yes, (3) If Tie → Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot simultaneously resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.