TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia
Volume:
$675,311
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CA Tigre and CS Independiente Rivadavia will compete in an Argentina Primera División match on April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard league fixture where one team will win, lose, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Tigre win, Draw, Rivadavia win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for the same match outcome, creating a logical contradiction in market structure and settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, buying all three outcomes at fair odds should cost ~1.0 units total (standard three-way bet). On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES for any match result, making the combined payout structure fundamentally different. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's three markets are intended as redundant confirmations or if there is a settlement error in the rule set.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Tigre win, Draw, or Rivadavia win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent resolution criteria: 'If CA Tigre wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Tigre market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If CS Independiente Rivadavia wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Rivadavia market).
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three separate markets that all resolve YES for any possible match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Tigre wins; Market 2 resolves YES if Rivadavia wins; Market 3 resolves YES if the match ends in a tie. This structure means all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously for the same match, regardless of result, violating the principle of mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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