TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra
Volume:
$293,474
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between CA Talleres and CD Riestra.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Talleres win, Riestra win, Tie) resolve YES simultaneously, violating mutual exclusivity. Polymarket uses standard three-way binary structure where exactly one outcome resolves YES.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event. The resolution logic is contradictory—a match cannot simultaneously result in a Talleres win, Riestra win, AND a tie. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive markets; use those instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Talleres win resolves YES only if Talleres wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Riestra win resolves YES only if Riestra wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If CA Talleres wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three markets with identical resolution logic: each resolves YES if ANY of the three outcomes (Talleres win, Riestra win, or Tie) occurs. This means all three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of match result. Quote: 'If Talleres Cordoba wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Riestra wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' (applied identically to all three markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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