TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors
Volume:
$281,842
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CA Talleres (Córdoba) will face CA Boca Juniors in an Argentine Primera División match on April 2, 2026. The market group covers three mutually exclusive outcomes within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time: a Talleres victory, a Boca Juniors victory, or a draw. All markets reference the same governing body (AFA) and official match statistics as the primary resolution source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Draw, Talleres Win, Boca Win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves YES for all three outcomes, making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is logically contradictory—it claims to resolve YES if Talleres wins, YES if there is a tie, and YES if Boca wins, which means it will always resolve YES regardless of the match outcome. This violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's three separate markets are the only coherent settlement mechanism for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (coherent): Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets—one for Draw (YES if match ends 0-0 or scoreless), one for Talleres Win (YES if Talleres scores more), and one for Boca Win (YES if Boca scores more). Exactly one will resolve YES. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and separately 'If CA Talleres wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (incoherent): Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Talleres Cordoba wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boca Juniors wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—the market will resolve YES for every possible match outcome, making it unresolvable as a binary prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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