TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
polymarket
kalshi

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata

Volume:
$342,097

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 6:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Lorenzo de Almagro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,314
N/A
N/A
$37,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,478
N/A
N/A
$91,671
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,665
N/A
N/A
$34,841
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and Estudiantes de La Plata.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (San Lorenzo win, Draw, Estudiantes win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi offers three separate YES/NO markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes of the same event, creating a logical contradiction where multiple Kalshi markets would resolve YES simultaneously.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming they are equivalent. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, all three markets will resolve YES if you bet on all outcomes (San Lorenzo win, Estudiantes win, or Tie), making Kalshi's structure fundamentally different from Polymarket's mutually exclusive design. Clarify with the platform which outcome you are actually betting on before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO. The three markets are: (1) San Lorenzo wins, (2) Draw occurs, (3) Estudiantes wins. Each market independently resolves based on the 90-minute match outcome, with postponement keeping markets open and cancellation resolving non-win markets to NO and the draw market to YES. Primary source is official AFA statistics within 2 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures the event as three separate YES/NO markets that each resolve YES for a different outcome of the same match: Market 1 resolves YES if San Lorenzo wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Estudiantes wins, Market 3 resolves YES if Tie occurs. This means all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously for the same event outcome, contradicting the mutually exclusive logic of Polymarket. No explicit cancellation or postponement rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.