TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe
Volume:
$279,005
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between CA Platense and Independiente Santa Fe.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic (draw YES, wins NO), while Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause. This creates structural incompatibility in edge case resolution.Hero Tip:
Traders holding positions across both platforms face basis risk in cancellation scenarios. Polymarket's draw market has asymmetric payoff if canceled (YES), while win markets pay NO. Kalshi's cancellation behavior is undefined. Recommend monitoring CONMEBOL official channels and requesting explicit Kalshi cancellation guidance before April 29, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO if canceled. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official CONMEBOL statistics as primary source and credible reporting as fallback within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Single unified market covering three outcomes (Santa Fe win, Platense win, Tie). Resolves YES for whichever outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in source material.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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