TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Lanús vs. CA Central Córdoba
Volume:
$322,909
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CA Lanús and CA Central Córdoba will compete in an Argentina Primera División (Liga Profesional) match on April 24, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard league fixture where one team will win, one will lose, or the match will end in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Lanus win, Central Cordoba win, Tie) resolve YES independently, creating a logical contradiction where a single match result cannot satisfy all three simultaneously. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with coherent cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets as presented. The resolution logic is self-contradictory—if Lanus wins, only market 1 should resolve YES, but the rules state all three resolve YES for their respective outcomes. This makes the markets fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Lanus win resolves YES only if Lanus wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in draw, NO otherwise; (3) Central Cordoba win resolves YES only if Central Cordoba wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Cancellation rule: if game is canceled with no makeup, Draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a draw outcome), while Lanus and Central Cordoba markets resolve NO.
- Kalshi: Three independent outcome markets stated as: (1) If Lanus wins, market resolves Yes; (2) If Central Cordoba wins, market resolves Yes; (3) If Tie occurs, market resolves Yes. The rules do not specify what happens if the other outcomes occur, and do not address cancellation. This creates logical impossibility: a single match result (e.g., Lanus victory) cannot simultaneously resolve all three markets to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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