TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Bucaramanga vs. Once Caldas
Volume:
$148,915
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between CA Bucaramanga and Once Caldas scheduled for March 17, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes: a Bucaramanga win, an Once Caldas win, or a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Bucaramanga win, Once Caldas win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket's draw market has asymmetric cancellation handling compared to win markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until resolution logic is corrected - the specification that all outcomes resolve Yes indicates a data integrity failure. On Polymarket, note that the draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation while win markets resolve No, creating a hedge opportunity if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Bucaramanga win, Once Caldas win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Once Caldas wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bucaramanga wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This represents a critical data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with standard resolution logic. Bucaramanga win market: resolves Yes if Bucaramanga wins, No otherwise; resolves No if canceled. Once Caldas win market: resolves Yes if Once Caldas wins, No otherwise; resolves No if canceled. Draw market: resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise; resolves Yes if canceled entirely with no make-up. Key quote on draw cancellation: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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