TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tigre
Volume:
$117,642
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Barracas Central and CA Tigre scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Barracas win, Tigre win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolving to YES, creating logical ambiguity. Polymarket explicitly differentiates cancellation handling between win markets (resolve NO) and draw market (resolve YES), introducing settlement asymmetry.Hero Tip:
Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the three outcomes are a single combined market or three independent binary markets. For Polymarket, understand that a full cancellation (no makeup game) favors draw position over either win position. Monitor AFA announcements for postponement vs cancellation distinction, as postponement keeps markets open while cancellation triggers divergent resolutions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents three conditions, each resolving to Yes: Tigre win, Tie, or Barracas win. No explicit cancellation clause. Terminology conflates 'Tie' with draw. Logical structure suggests these may be three independent YES/NO markets rather than a single three-way outcome market.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Barracas win market: resolves YES if Barracas wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Tigre win market: resolves YES if Tigre wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Draw market: resolves YES if draw occurs OR if game is canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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