TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Barracas Central vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets
Volume:
$215,033
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for April 28 at 8:00 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match outcome market is logically tautological—all three possible outcomes (Audax win, Barracas win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a prediction market. Polymarket offers outcome-specific markets with clear binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade or settle against Kalshi's market structure as written. Use Polymarket's spread and outcome markets as the authoritative resolution framework. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should include a No outcome or if it is a guaranteed payout.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Eight outcome-specific markets covering spreads (Audax -1.5, Audax -2.5, Barracas -1.5, Barracas -2.5), totals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score. Each has explicit binary resolution criteria tied to goal differentials or combined scoring. Resolution source: official CONMEBOL final score within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Fallback to credible reporting if CONMEBOL does not publish within 2 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Single market stating: 'If Audax wins... Yes. If Barracas wins... Yes. If Tie... Yes.' All three mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical contradiction. No No outcome is defined. This makes the market a guaranteed payout regardless of result, violating prediction market semantics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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