TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Butler Bulldogs vs. Villanova Wildcats
Volume:
$122,531
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Butler Bulldogs and Villanova Wildcats scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -9.5 and -10.5, and over/under totals at 146.5 and 147.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Butler win and Villanova win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly maps each outcome to distinct resolutions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket for moneyline exposure. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent with each other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market structure is logically broken. Both Butler win and Villanova win conditions resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable contradiction. No No outcome is defined.
- Polymarket: Moneyline correctly resolves to Butler Bulldogs or Villanova Wildcats based on winner. Spread markets (-9.5 and -10.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total markets (146.5 and 147.5) resolve based on combined score. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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