TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)
Volume:
$1,021,400
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Butler Bulldogs and Georgetown Hoyas scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET at Georgetown. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Georgetown win and Butler win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (team name). These are fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a binary Yes/No market or if the logic was misstated. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear: it settles to the winning team's name. Focus trading activity on Polymarket unless Kalshi provides corrected terms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Claims both Georgetown win and Butler win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a single market and suggests either a data entry error or a misunderstanding of the market structure. No clear path to resolution exists as written.
- Polymarket: Resolves to team name: Butler Bulldogs if Butler wins, Georgetown Hoyas if Georgetown wins. Includes standard provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Clear and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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