This event group covers the FA Cup match between Burton Albion FC and West Ham United FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes three distinct outcome markets: Burton win, West Ham win, and draw.
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up) that contradicts the standard No resolution in all other markets. This creates settlement asymmetry across the outcome triplet.
Hero Tip:
Monitor FA Cup fixture calendar closely. If cancellation without rescheduling occurs, the draw market will resolve Yes while Burton and West Ham win markets resolve No. This is a rare but material divergence. Consider the draw market as having embedded cancellation insurance relative to win markets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves to Yes if game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique clause: if game is canceled entirely with no make-up, this market resolves Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".'
Polymarket (Win Markets) & Kalshi: Burton and West Ham win markets resolve Yes only if their respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No. Cancellation without rescheduling resolves to No (standard). Kalshi covers all three outcomes but contains no explicit cancellation language. Key quote (Polymarket wins): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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