TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Volume:
$2,037,796
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Burnley FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Burnley win, Brighton win, Draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three separate YES/NO markets that can all resolve YES simultaneously if any outcome occurs, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's market structure fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's structure violates basic market logic: all three outcomes cannot occur at once, yet all three markets are written to resolve YES for their respective outcomes. This creates ambiguity about whether you are betting on a single outcome or a portfolio. Polymarket's three binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Burnley win, Brighton win, or Draw) will occur and resolve YES, while the other two resolve NO. The resolution source is 'official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. All three markets reference '90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time' and handle postponement identically (remain open until completion) and cancellation identically (resolve NO, except Draw resolves YES if canceled).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets framed as independent YES/NO propositions: 'If Brighton wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Burnley wins... then resolves to Yes', and 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes'. This structure is logically incoherent because exactly one outcome will occur, yet all three markets are written to resolve YES for their respective outcomes, meaning traders cannot determine whether they are betting on a single outcome or a portfolio. No resolution source, postponement rules, or cancellation clause is specified. This violates fundamental market design principles and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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