TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC
Volume:
$3,736,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the English Premier League match between Burnley FC and Brentford FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. The markets assess three possible outcomes: a Burnley win, a Brentford win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three outcome markets without explicit mutual exclusivity framing, while Polymarket structures three independent binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute evaluation window and postponement handling, but diverge on cancellation treatment.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, a full cancellation creates an arbitrage: Draw resolves Yes while both win markets resolve No. Monitor for postponements (both platforms keep markets open) versus full cancellations (Polymarket diverges). Kalshi's phrasing suggests standard three-way outcome markets but lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: Burnley win resolves Yes if Burnley wins; Brentford win resolves Yes if Brentford wins; Tie resolves Yes if match ends in a draw. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data.
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with asymmetric cancellation: Burnley Win and Brentford Win resolve No if canceled; Draw resolves Yes if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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