TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth
Volume:
$2,306,405
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional English Premier League soccer match between Burnley FC and AFC Bournemouth scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering all three possible outcomes: Burnley win, draw, or Bournemouth win.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling divergence: Kalshi's rules create a logical impossibility (all three outcomes resolve to Yes), while Polymarket provides clear cancellation logic (win markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes). This creates settlement ambiguity only in the unlikely event of permanent match cancellation.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any official Premier League announcements regarding match postponement or cancellation. In normal circumstances (match is played), both platforms resolve identically. The divergence only matters if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup date—a low-probability scenario. For trading purposes, assume the match will be played as scheduled and treat both platforms as equivalent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves all three outcome markets (Burnley win, tie, Bournemouth win) to Yes if the match is canceled. This creates a logical contradiction where mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve affirmatively. Quote: 'If Burnley wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Bournemouth wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation clause provided.
- Polymarket: Provides explicit cancellation logic: Burnley win and Bournemouth win markets resolve to No if canceled with no makeup game; draw market resolves to Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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