TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bulls vs. Wizards
Volume:
$5,021,817
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Chicago Bulls and Washington Wizards scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, resolution is delayed until completion; if canceled with no makeup, Polymarket resolves 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Bulls win OR Wizards win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers multiple well-defined markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props) with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. These two platforms are incompatible.Hero Tip:
DO NOT trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rule guarantees YES regardless of game outcome, which violates basic prediction market logic. All trading activity should be directed to Polymarket, which provides 162 properly structured markets with clear winner/loser and threshold-based outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market states 'If Washington wins the Chicago at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the Chicago at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes, leaving no path to NO resolution. This is a critical data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 162 separate markets covering moneyline (Bulls vs. Wizards), multiple spread tiers (Bulls -4.5 through -34.5), over/under totals (216.5 through 251.5), first-half markets, and individual player props (points, rebounds, assists). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes (e.g., 'Bulls' or 'Wizards' for moneyline; 'Over' or 'Under' for totals) with clear thresholds and a defined resolution source (official NBA box score on NBA.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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