TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bulls vs. 76ers
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Chicago wins OR Philadelphia wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures multiple distinct markets (Moneyline, Spread, Over/Under) that each resolve to specific outcomes based on game result.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. Trade only on Polymarket markets, which have proper binary or ternary resolution logic tied to actual game results, spreads, and point totals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If Chicago wins the Chicago at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Philadelphia wins the Chicago at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers multiple properly-structured markets including a Moneyline that resolves to 'Bulls' if Bulls win or '76ers' if 76ers win, Spread markets that resolve based on margin of victory (e.g. '76ers' if they win by 7+ points for the -6.5 spread), and Over/Under markets that resolve based on combined points scored. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes tied to specific game results.
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