TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Buffalo Bulls vs. Toledo Rockets
Volume:
$287,836
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Buffalo Bulls and Toledo Rockets scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Toledo favored by 6.5–8.5 points), and over/under totals (153.5–155.5 combined points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Buffalo win and Toledo win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is unsettleable. Trade only Polymarket markets, which use standard binary (moneyline) and threshold-based (spread, totals) logic. Verify the final official NCAA score including any overtime periods before claiming settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market claims both Buffalo win and Toledo win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that violates binary market structure and makes settlement impossible. Quote: 'If Buffalo wins the Buffalo at Toledo men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toledo wins the Buffalo at Toledo men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Buffalo Bulls' or 'Toledo Rockets' (mutually exclusive outcomes). Spreads use standard point thresholds (Toledo -6.5 resolves Yes if Toledo wins by 7+; Toledo -8.5 resolves Yes if Toledo wins by 9+). Totals use explicit point thresholds (154+, 155+, 156+). All markets include overtime in final score and resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Buffalo Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Buffalo Bulls". If the Toledo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Toledo Rockets".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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