TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Buffalo Bulls vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (W)
Volume:
$31,283
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Buffalo Bulls and Northern Illinois Huskies scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both a Northern Illinois win and a Buffalo win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution criteria are contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has coherent binary logic: one team wins and resolves to that team's name, the other team loses.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all logic. Buffalo Bulls win resolves to Buffalo Bulls, Northern Illinois win resolves to Northern Illinois Huskies. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: If the Buffalo Bulls win, the market will resolve to Buffalo Bulls. If the Northern Illinois Huskies win, the market will resolve to Northern Illinois Huskies.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic stating both outcomes resolve to Yes. Key quote: If Northern Illinois wins resolves to Yes AND If Buffalo wins resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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