A college basketball game between the Buffalo Bulls and Massachusetts Minutemen scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (game winner), multiple over/under totals (154.5, 155.5, 156.5, 157.5), and the spread (-7.5 Massachusetts).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Buffalo win or UMass win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no defined path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates binary market integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi moneyline as unresolvable until the platform clarifies the No resolution condition. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spread, and over/under markets with confidence, as they maintain consistent internal logic across all markets and define clear resolution paths for all scenarios including postponement and cancellation.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to named winner (Buffalo Bulls or Massachusetts Minutemen). Spread resolves based on margin of victory (Massachusetts -7.5 requires 8+ point win). Over/under markets (154.5, 155.5, 156.5, 157.5) resolve based on combined team points. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If UMass wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Buffalo wins...resolves to Yes.' No resolution condition for No outcome is specified. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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